4
Tuscan Romance
5yo Mare · 9-8 · OR 73
Greyville · Lucky Fish Diamond Riches Class 4 (F & M) · 4f 214y
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-10 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-01-03 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-12-04 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-09-30 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-06-08 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 08/03/2025 | 9th | 2/1 | 89% | 38% | -0.51 |
| 17/05/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 08/06/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 30/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 93% | +0.07 |
| 04/12/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 03/01/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |
| 10/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |