10

Vision To Achieve

6yo Mare · 9-6 · OR 71

Greyville · Lucky Fish Diamond Riches Class 4 (F & M) · 4f 214y

#7

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. Bit below form fifth of 9 in minor event (16/1) at Scottsville (5f, good) 19 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength31%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Scottsville 15/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13415/034C1 @ Scottsville 26/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 120 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Greyville 09/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1209/05C5C5 @ Greyville 13/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 4f214y GS 1204 @ Scottsville 28/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 5f103y Gd 13728/0644 @ Scottsville 19/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1374 @ Scottsville 09/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1369/0844 @ Greyville 28/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 4f214y Hvy 134C5 @ Scottsville 13/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13313/09C5projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Scottsville?5th6th−1
2026-08-28Greyville43rd3rd0
2026-08-09Scottsville46th6th0
2026-07-19Scottsville46th6th0
2026-06-28Scottsville46th6th0
2026-06-13Greyville?10th11th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0313/069/0813/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength83%

Delivery trend +0.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/03/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
26/04/202610th40/10%10%+0.10
09/05/20267th16/116%33%+0.18
13/06/202610th33/10%18%+0.18
28/06/20266th33/10%67%+0.67
19/07/20266th7/282%44%-0.37
09/08/20266th14/126%50%+0.24
28/08/20263rd8/158%78%+0.20
13/09/20265th14/126%50%+0.24