10

Vision To Achieve
6yo Mare · 9-6 · OR 71
Greyville · Lucky Fish Diamond Riches Class 4 (F & M) · 4f 214y
#7
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Scottsville | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-28 | Greyville | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Scottsville | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Scottsville | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Scottsville | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Greyville | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength83%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 26/04/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 09/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 13/06/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 28/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 44% | -0.37 |
| 09/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |
| 13/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |