6
Winter Blessing
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 36
Greyville · Lucky Fish Diamond Riches Class 4 (F & M) · 4f 214y
#9
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Greyville | 5 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Greyville | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-06 | Greyville | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-04-08 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-01-25 | Scottsville | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 09/12/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 02/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 25/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 71% | -0.21 |
| 27/02/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 08/04/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 06/05/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 22/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 12/07/2026 | 12th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |