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Dancing Party

3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 49

Greyville · Gallop TV Class 5 (F & M) · 4f 214y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner at Scottsville in July. Last of 7 in handicap (10/1) at Greyville (5f, AW) 28 days ago. Expected to be bang there.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C7.4
Today: 5
Class gap: -2.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Greyville 11/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 4f214y GS 13211/04C8C8 @ Greyville 27/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Std 12627/05C8C8 @ Scottsville 28/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 5f103y Gd 13228/06C8C8 @ Scottsville 19/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13219/07C85 @ Greyville 04/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 4f214y GS 1304/095projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Greyville57th7th0
2026-07-19Scottsville?1st5th−3
2026-06-28Scottsville?5th9th−3
2026-05-27Greyville?3rd7th−3
2026-04-11Greyville?6th10th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0427/0528/0619/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength6%

Delivery trend -11.6% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/04/20266th10/147%17%-0.31
27/05/20263rd16/116%75%+0.59
28/06/20265th5/174%71%-0.02
19/07/20261st8/1597%100%+0.03
04/09/20267th15/261%0%-0.61