7

Grue Of Ice

8yo Mare · 8-3 · OR 54

Greyville · Gallop TV Class 5 (F & M) · 4f 214y

#7

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Thirty eight runs since last win in 2023. 33/1, third of 13 in handicap at Scottsville (6f, good to soft) 11 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Greyville 03/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Std 1153/0455 @ Greyville 06/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1155 @ Greyville 20/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Std 11520/0555 @ Greyville 03/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 1155 @ Greyville 22/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Std 11522/0655 @ Greyville 12/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Std 1155 @ Scottsville 22/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 11522/0754 @ Scottsville 09/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Scottsville 21/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 5f212y GS 11521/095projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Scottsville53rd3rd0
2026-08-09Scottsville48th7th+1
2026-07-22Scottsville57th7th0
2026-07-12Greyville56th6th0
2026-06-22Greyville56th6th0
2026-06-03Greyville54th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/043/0622/0721/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/04/20263rd22/10%82%+0.82
06/05/20266th11/271%38%-0.34
20/05/20267th28/10%45%+0.45
03/06/20264th22/10%70%+0.70
22/06/20266th10/147%38%-0.10
12/07/20266th25/10%55%+0.55
22/07/20267th40/10%57%+0.57
09/08/20268th40/10%30%+0.30
21/09/20263rd25/10%83%+0.83