5
Lou Lou
4yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 58
Greyville · Gallop TV Class 5 (F & M) · 4f 214y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength85%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Greyville | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Greyville | ? | 10th | 4th | +5 |
| 2026-06-06 | Greyville | ? | 11th | 6th | +5 |
| 2026-04-24 | Greyville | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Greyville | ? | 8th | 3rd | +4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength87%
Delivery trend +6.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 26/12/2025 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 33% | -0.57 |
| 28/01/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 23/02/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 27/03/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 06/06/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 04/07/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |