8
Sovereign Gem
4yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 62
Greyville · Gallop TV Class 5 (F & M) · 4f 214y
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Greyville | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Greyville | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Scottsville | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Greyville | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Greyville | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Greyville | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength76%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 23/02/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 11% | -0.44 |
| 05/04/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 24/04/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 06/05/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 91% | +0.75 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 18/08/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |