Menagerie
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 83
Greyville · Join The Passion! www.racecoast.co.za Middle Stakes (F & M) · 5f 212y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Scottsville | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Greyville | ? | 9th | 4th | +4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-04-29 | Scottsville | ? | 2nd | -3th | +4 |
| 2026-04-05 | Scottsville | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 93% | +0.08 |
| 29/04/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 27/05/2026 | 1st | 1/4 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 26/07/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 13/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |