Regeneration
5yo Mare · 9-10 · OR 26
Greyville · Join The Passion! www.racecoast.co.za Middle Stakes (F & M) · 5f 212y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Scottsville | ? | 14th | 9th | +4 |
| 2026-04-26 | Scottsville | ? | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Scottsville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Greyville | ? | 8th | 4th | +4 |
| 2025-11-16 | Greyville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 03/05/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 24/05/2025 | 13th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 17/09/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 16/11/2025 | 8th | 11/8 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 26/12/2025 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 13% | -0.43 |
| 11/03/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 26/04/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 23/05/2026 | 14th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |