2
Sohot Sowhat
5yo Mare · 9-6 · OR 87
Greyville · Join The Passion! www.racecoast.co.za Middle Stakes (F & M) · 5f 212y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
70%
Place Prob
47%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Scottsville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Greyville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Kenilworth | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Kenilworth | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength89%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 08/11/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 21/12/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 10/01/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 22/02/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 13/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |