8

Definitely Yes

5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 50

Greyville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Class 4 · 5f 212y

#11

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

33/1, eleventh of 12 in handicap at Scottsville (6f, good to soft) 11 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Greyville 11/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13311/0455 @ Scottsville 29/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1325 @ Greyville 13/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13413/0554 @ Greyville 30/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 1254 @ Greyville 13/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12513/0644 @ Scottsville 28/06/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 5f103y Gd 1254 @ Scottsville 23/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12523/084C5 @ Greyville 04/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1324 @ Scottsville 21/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12521/094projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Scottsville411th11th0
2026-09-04Greyville?7th8th−1
2026-08-23Scottsville43rd3rd0
2026-06-28Scottsville416th16th0
2026-06-13Greyville45th5th0
2026-05-30Greyville45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0430/0523/0821/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength35%

Delivery trend +0.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/04/20263rd5/174%83%+0.10
29/04/20262nd3/184%89%+0.05
13/05/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
30/05/20265th9/276%60%-0.16
13/06/20265th15/261%64%+0.03
28/06/202616th14/126%0%-0.26
23/08/20263rd22/10%78%+0.78
04/09/20267th10/147%25%-0.22
21/09/202611th25/10%9%+0.09