6

My Boy Lollipop

5yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 47

Greyville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Class 4 · 5f 212y

#12

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Eleven runs since last win in 2025. Sixth of 9 in handicap at this C&D (soft, 25/1) 35 days ago. Difficult ask.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Scottsville 30/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13130/0744 @ Scottsville 20/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m154y Gd 131C5 @ Greyville 09/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 1369/12C54 @ Scottsville 15/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1294 @ Scottsville 05/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1295/0444 @ Greyville 24/04/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f98y GS 1284 @ Scottsville 22/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12822/0744 @ Greyville 07/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1265 @ Greyville 28/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Hvy 13728/085projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Greyville56th7th−1
2026-08-07Greyville410th10th0
2026-07-22Scottsville45th5th0
2026-04-24Greyville414th14th0
2026-04-05Scottsville411th11th0
2026-02-15Scottsville411th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0715/0222/0728/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength23%

Delivery trend +1.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/202510th20/10%0%0.00
20/08/20258th22/10%30%+0.30
09/12/20259th33/10%11%+0.11
15/02/202611th50/10%17%+0.17
05/04/202611th33/10%0%0.00
24/04/202614th25/10%7%+0.07
22/07/20265th100/10%20%+0.20
07/08/202610th66/10%10%+0.10
28/08/20266th33/10%38%+0.38