9

Phutulicious
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 59
Greyville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Class 4 · 5f 212y
#8
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Greyville | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-09-04 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Greyville | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Scottsville | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Greyville | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Scottsville | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 18/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 11/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 29/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 07/08/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 24/09/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 17% | -0.71 |