5
Street Outlaw
7yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 73
Greyville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Class 4 · 5f 212y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Scottsville | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Scottsville | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Kenilworth | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Kenilworth | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Durbanville | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Kenilworth | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength43%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 10/01/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 31/01/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 61% | +0.61 |
| 22/02/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 18/03/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 06/04/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 19/05/2026 | 11th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 28/06/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 21/09/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 64% | +0.03 |