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Stronger Together

3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 80

Greyville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Class 4 · 5f 212y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

33/10, won 8-runner minor event at Scottsville (5f, good). Off 138 days. Sets the benchmark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -4.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Scottsville 05/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 4f214y GS 1325/04C8C8 @ Scottsville 26/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 4f214y Sft 12626/04C8C8 @ Scottsville 17/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13217/05C8projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-17Scottsville?1st6th−4
2026-04-26Scottsville?4th9th−4
2026-04-05Scottsville?3rd8th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0426/0417/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength14%

Delivery trend -32.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/04/20263rd25/10%80%+0.80
26/04/20264th1/195%50%-0.45
17/05/20261st11/486%100%+0.14