11
Trippi's Silk
6yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 71
Greyville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Class 4 · 5f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
22%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.6
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Greyville | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Greyville | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Greyville | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Scottsville | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Scottsville | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-11-26 | Kenilworth | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength55%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 03/09/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 10/11/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 26/11/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 11/03/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 05/04/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 17/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |