6
Etruscan Warrior
2yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 67
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-06-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -7.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 09/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |