1
Miss Magical
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 70
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
62%
Place Prob
52%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength90%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 06/03/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 17/04/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 01/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |