5
With Kindness
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 72
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Churchill Downs | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-16 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-12-19 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 06/03/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 07/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 19/12/2025 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 16/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 22/03/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 24/05/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 11% | -0.68 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 23/08/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 17% | -0.68 |