Diamond's Honor

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 76

Gulfstream · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

35%

Place Prob

39%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼1

Strength55%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.3

Today:

Class gap: +1.3

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-12	Gulfstream	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2025-11-27	Gulfstream	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2025-10-12	Gulfstream	?	4th	1st	+3	9.0
2025-08-08	Gulfstream	?	5th	2nd	+3	8.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength52%

Delivery trend -7.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
08/08/2025	5th	16/1	16%	20%	+0.04
12/10/2025	4th	12/1	37%	25%	-0.12
27/11/2025	2nd	3/1	84%	86%	+0.02
12/09/2026	3rd	11/4	86%	60%	-0.26