2
Senta Says
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 71
Gulfstream · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
64%
Place Prob
53%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-02-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -15.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 12/03/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 09/04/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 12/09/2026 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 80% | -0.17 |