6
Kiona
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 60
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength82%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 18/03/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 04/04/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 38% | -0.34 |
| 21/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 26/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 1/1 | 95% | 40% | -0.55 |