4
Not One Less
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 59
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
57%
Place Prob
46%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength56%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 21/06/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 29% | -0.54 |
| 19/07/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 02/08/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 23/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 26/07/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 17% | -0.44 |
| 17/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |