Miami Style

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 79

Gulfstream · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark

Move▲1

Strength25%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.3

Today:

Class gap: -0.8

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-15	Saratoga	?	3rd	1st	+2	8.8
2026-07-26	Saratoga	?	7th	5th	+2	4.8
2026-04-22	Tampa Bay Downs	?	1st	3rd	−2	6.6
2026-03-20	Tampa Bay Downs	?	2nd	4th	−2	5.6
2026-02-15	Tampa Bay Downs	?	3rd	5th	−2	4.6
2026-01-10	Gulfstream	?	7th	9th	−2	1.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▲

Strength54%

Delivery trend +5.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
11/09/2025	4th	14/1	26%	63%	+0.36
31/10/2025	4th	13/2	66%	63%	-0.03
28/11/2025	4th	4/1	79%	63%	-0.16
10/01/2026	7th	9/2	76%	33%	-0.43
15/02/2026	3rd	6/5	94%	78%	-0.16
20/03/2026	2nd	4/1	79%	89%	+0.10
22/04/2026	1st	6/4	92%	100%	+0.08
26/07/2026	7th	50/1	0%	33%	+0.33
15/08/2026	3rd	20/1	0%	60%	+0.60