6
More Applause
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 79
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-03-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-02-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 08/01/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 13/02/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 19/03/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 05/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/08/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |