5
Nashville Slew
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 79
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-18 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-01-28 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-05-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength54%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2024 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 05/01/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 07/02/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.10 |
| 02/05/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/01/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 18/02/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 22/03/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |