8

Starship Elation

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 89

Gulfstream · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 30/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 88 · 1m110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/11/2025 · OR 88 par30/11C6OR 88C7 @ Gulfstream 28/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 88 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark28/12/2025 · OR 88 parC7 @ Gulfstream 22/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 85 · 1m Fas 123 · beat its mark22/01/2026 · OR 85 par22/01C7OR 85C6 @ Gulfstream 21/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 87 · 1m110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/02/2026 · OR 87 parC7 @ Gulfstream 17/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 83 · 1m Fm 126 · below its mark17/04/2026 · OR 83 par17/04C7OR 83C7 @ Gulfstream 12/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 84 · 1m70y Fas 126 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 84 parC7 @ Gulfstream 11/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 91 · 1m110y Fm 126 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 91 par11/07C7OR 91C7 @ Gulfstream 08/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 82 · 1m Fm 126 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 82 parC7 @ Gulfstream 05/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 81 · 1m110y Fm 126 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 81 par5/09C7OR 81projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Gulfstream?5th5th0
2026-08-08Gulfstream?3rd3rd0
2026-07-11Gulfstream?7th7th0
2026-06-12Gulfstream?5th5th0
2026-04-17Gulfstream?5th5th0
2026-02-21Gulfstream?7th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/1121/0211/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength80%

Delivery trend +6.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/11/20256th4/179%17%-0.62
28/12/20252nd4/179%86%+0.07
22/01/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
21/02/20267th40/10%25%+0.25
17/04/20265th14/126%20%-0.06
12/06/20265th25/10%50%+0.50
11/07/20267th33/10%25%+0.25
08/08/20263rd25/10%71%+0.71
05/09/20265th8/158%33%-0.25