2
Dream Diamond
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 67
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength36%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 23/08/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/11/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/12/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/01/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 21/06/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 27/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 13/09/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |