Veronika Z
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 78
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/5
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
92%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-08-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-07-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-06-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 03/04/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 01/05/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 01/06/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 19/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 17/08/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 57% | -0.33 |
| 13/09/2025 | 3rd | 8/15 | 97% | 71% | -0.26 |
| 26/07/2026 | 5th | 4/5 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 2/9 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |