1

Del Mar Sunrise

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 82

Gulfstream · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Gulfstream 17/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 78 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark17/01/2026 · OR 78 par17/01C9OR 78C9 @ Gulfstream 19/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 79 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark19/02/2026 · OR 79 par19/02C9OR 79C9 @ Gulfstream 19/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 79 · 1m Slo 122 · below its mark19/03/2026 · OR 79 par19/03C9OR 79C9 @ Gulfstream 06/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 74 · 1m70y Fas 121 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 74 par6/06C9OR 74C7 @ Gulfstream 11/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 78 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 78 par11/07C7OR 78C7 @ Gulfstream 02/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 79 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark02/08/2026 · OR 79 par2/08C7OR 79C5 @ Gulfstream 22/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 82 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 82 par22/08C5OR 82projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Gulfstream?6th4th+2
2026-08-02Gulfstream?3rd3rd0
2026-07-11Gulfstream?4th4th0
2026-06-06Gulfstream?1st3rd−2
2026-03-19Gulfstream?9th11th−2
2026-02-19Gulfstream?3rd5th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/016/0622/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength97%

Delivery trend +6.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/01/20262nd9/488%90%+0.02
19/02/20263rd4/179%71%-0.08
19/03/20269th7/491%0%-0.91
06/06/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
11/07/20264th12/137%63%+0.26
02/08/20263rd8/158%60%+0.02
22/08/20266th33/10%17%+0.17