3
Scarlett's Law
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 80
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-04-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 23/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 02/08/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |