Sunfish

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 73

Gulfstream · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

12%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark

Move▲1

Strength17%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.4

Today:

Class gap: -0.9

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-02	Gulfstream	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-07-12	Gulfstream	?	1st	3rd	−2	6.6
2026-05-17	Gulfstream	?	8th	7th	+1	2.6
2026-04-16	Gulfstream	?	2nd	4th	−2	5.6
2026-03-19	Gulfstream	?	4th	6th	−2	3.6
2026-01-29	Gulfstream	?	9th	9th	0	1.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▼

Strength84%

Delivery trend -3.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
29/01/2026	9th	40/1	0%	11%	+0.11
19/03/2026	4th	16/1	16%	63%	+0.47
16/04/2026	2nd	33/1	0%	80%	+0.80
17/05/2026	8th	9/1	53%	0%	-0.53
12/07/2026	1st	3/1	84%	100%	+0.16
02/08/2026	2nd	10/1	47%	80%	+0.33