Carambaso
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 83
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 29/01/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 07/03/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 26/04/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 20/09/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |