Celtic Pride
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 97
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-09-18 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-08-09 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2025 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 13% | -0.53 |
| 10/07/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 71% | -0.21 |
| 03/08/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 09/08/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 88% | -0.07 |
| 18/09/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 25/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 02/08/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |