1

King Cab

7yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 95

Gulfstream · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength50%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Oaklawn Park 29/03/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 102 · 6f Gd 117 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/03/2025 · OR 102 par29/03C6OR 102C6 @ Fairmount Park 26/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 93 · 5f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/04/2025 · OR 93 parC0 @ Hawthorne 25/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 6f Fas 11925/05C?C0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 5f Fm 125C6 @ Hawthorne 24/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 100 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/08/2025 · OR 100 par24/08C6OR 100C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 103 · 5f Slo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/09/2025 · OR 103 parC6 @ Hawthorne 16/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 99 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 99 par16/10C6OR 99C6 @ Fairmount Park 28/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 96 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/10/2025 · OR 96 parC7 @ Oaklawn Park 19/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 104 · 6f 118 · below its mark19/12/2025 · OR 104 par19/12C7OR 104projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-12-19Oaklawn Park?7th7th0
2025-10-28Fairmount Park?2nd1st+1
2025-10-16Hawthorne?4th3rd+1
2025-09-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd2nd+1
2025-08-24Hawthorne?4th3rd+1
2025-07-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/034/0716/1019/12
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength52%

Delivery trend -3.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/03/202510th33/10%10%+0.10
26/04/20253rd2/189%75%-0.14
25/05/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
04/07/20258th33/10%22%+0.22
24/08/20254th8/158%0%-0.58
25/09/20253rd10/382%60%-0.22
16/10/20254th5/174%25%-0.49
28/10/20252nd10/382%80%-0.02
19/12/20257th25/10%14%+0.14