Mish
9yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 98
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/5
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
84%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 03/01/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 73% | -0.14 |
| 22/01/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 22/02/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 03/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/11 | 98% | 80% | -0.18 |