10
Parnassus
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 84
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
60%
Place Prob
40%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-03-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength77%
Delivery trend -7.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 03/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |