1

Credit Union

5yo Gelding · 11-0

Hexham · David Clarke Memorial 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 48y

#7

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Little promise shown in a trio of bumpers (trained by Rebecca Menzies first 2 starts) and 2 runs over hurdles, tried in a hood at Sedgefield (2½m, firm) last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.6
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 11/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 2m190y Goo 15611/1255 @ Newcastle 15/01/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 2m190y Goo 15915/0155 @ Newcastle 11/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 2m190y Gd 15711/0454 @ Market Rasen 15/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 2m4f139y Gd 15815/0844 @ Sedgefield 28/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 2m3f188y Goo 15428/084projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Sedgefield46th6th0
2026-08-15Market Rasen410th10th0
2026-04-11Newcastle510th11th−1
2026-01-15Newcastle514th15th−1
2025-12-11Newcastle510th11th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1215/0111/0415/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength18%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/12/202510th22/10%10%+0.10
15/01/202614th250/10%7%+0.07
11/04/202610th100/10%0%0.00
15/08/202610th400/10%0%0.00
28/08/20266th150/10%29%+0.29