5

Dark Tide Rising

4yo Gelding · 10-13

Hexham · David Clarke Memorial 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 48y

#2

Rank

Odds

10/11

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fourth in an Irish point. Much improved on second bumper run when a wide-margin winner of 9-runner event at Worcester (2m, good) 4 weeks ago, though left clear at start and never challenged. Yard is going very well so much respected now starting out in this sphere.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Perth 15/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR - · 2m47y Gd 15315/0855 @ Worcester 04/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 2m Gd 1544/095projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Worcester51st2nd−1
2026-08-15Perth53rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +53.5% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20263rd7/163%33%-0.30
04/09/20261st9/276%100%+0.24