1
Drumlee Myth
7yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 88
Hexham · Martin Bowler Memorial Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 28y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
93%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Perth | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Cartmel | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-21 | Cartmel | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-05-15 | Perth | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-04-23 | Perth | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-02-11 | Ayr | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength91%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2024 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 85% | +0.19 |
| 26/09/2024 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 12/01/2025 | 17th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 11/02/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.21 |
| 23/04/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 15/05/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 21/07/2025 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 27% | -0.31 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 15/08/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |