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5yo Mare · 11-8 · OR 84
Hexham · Martin Bowler Memorial Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 28y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Cartmel | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Cartmel | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Cartmel | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +16.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |