7
Time Was
9yo Mare · 10-11 · OR 73
Hexham · Martin Bowler Memorial Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 28y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Sedgefield | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-20 | Cartmel | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Market Rasen | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Market Rasen | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Market Rasen | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-24 | Catterick | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength65%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 20/05/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 26/11/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 12/01/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 02/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 24/02/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 19/06/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 20/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |