
Moveit Like Minnie
9yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 119
Hexham · Jewson Hexham Handicap Hurdle · 2m 48y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Plumpton | 2 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-03-23 | Wincanton | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Ascot | 2 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Ascot | 2 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Hereford | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Ascot | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 70% | +0.09 |
| 12/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 01/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 21/11/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 20/12/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 17/01/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 78% | +0.23 |
| 14/02/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 79% | +0.42 |
| 23/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 19/04/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 11% | -0.55 |