1

Moveit Like Minnie

9yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 119

Hexham · Jewson Hexham Handicap Hurdle · 2m 48y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Had strong handicap form at the beginning of last season, notably his third behind Alexei at Ascot. Gained reward for his consistency in Class 3 event at Wincanton in March and can be forgiven subsequent end-of-season effort. Big player back in calmer waters, with yard in fine form of late.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength31%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Hereford 22/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 119 · 2m53y Gd 168 · below its mark22/04/2025 · OR 119 par22/044OR 1193 @ Chepstow 12/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 118 · 2m11y Gd 156 · below its mark12/10/2025 · OR 118 par2 @ Ascot 01/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 118 · 1m7f157y Goo 149 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/11/2025 · OR 118 par1/112OR 1183 @ Ascot 21/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 118 · 1m7f157y Goo 156 · below its mark21/11/2025 · OR 118 par3 @ Hereford 20/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 118 · 2m3f147y Sft 153 · below its mark20/12/2025 · OR 118 par20/123OR 1182 @ Ascot 17/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 117 · 2m3f63y Sft 145 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/01/2026 · OR 117 par2 @ Ascot 14/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 116 · 2m3f63y Goo 142 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/02/2026 · OR 116 par14/022OR 1163 @ Wincanton 23/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 116 · 2m3f179y Gd 154 · beat its mark23/03/2026 · OR 116 par2 @ Plumpton 19/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 119 · 3m217y Gd 151 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 119 par19/042OR 119projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-19Plumpton29th8th+1
2026-03-23Wincanton31st1st0
2026-02-14Ascot24th3rd+1
2026-01-17Ascot23rd2nd+1
2025-12-20Hereford35th5th0
2025-11-21Ascot35th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0421/1114/0219/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength62%

Delivery trend -1.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/04/20254th15/261%70%+0.09
12/10/20252nd11/893%80%-0.13
01/11/20253rd11/142%80%+0.38
21/11/20255th5/287%33%-0.54
20/12/20255th7/282%43%-0.39
17/01/20263rd17/255%78%+0.23
14/02/20264th12/137%79%+0.42
23/03/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
19/04/20269th13/266%11%-0.55