Mr Mcloughlan
6yo Gelding · 11-13 · OR 118
Hexham · Jewson Hexham Handicap Hurdle · 2m 48y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Haydock | 1 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-04-04 | Haydock | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-09 | Stratford | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Southwell | 2 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-01-01 | Musselburgh | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Huntingdon | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 06/10/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 24/10/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 01/01/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 20/02/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 09/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 04/04/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |