6
Two Auld Pals
8yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 108
Hexham · Jewson Hexham Handicap Hurdle · 2m 48y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength27%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Ayr | 5 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-06-06 | Hexham | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Hexham | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-02-16 | Carlisle | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-01-13 | Ayr | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Musselburgh | 5 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength54%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 19/09/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 28/11/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 13/01/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 16/02/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 46% | -0.14 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 18/09/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |