8
De Deli Counter
5yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 98
Hexham · El Tel's 61 Racecourse's & Done Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 28y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | Market Rasen | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Market Rasen | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-19 | Sedgefield | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-13 | Fakenham | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Market Rasen | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-01-15 | Newcastle | 5 | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -9.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/2025 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/10/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 01/02/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 13/02/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 19/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 05/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 08/05/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 17% | -0.71 |