Dinons
13yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 104
Hexham · El Tel's 61 Racecourse's & Done Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 28y
#2
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Stratford | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Cartmel | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Hexham | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Newcastle | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-29 | Newcastle | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-11-14 | Newcastle | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 04/09/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 14% | -0.57 |
| 16/09/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 11/10/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 14/11/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 29/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 18/07/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 14% | -0.46 |