5
Kool Raoul
6yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 101
Hexham · El Tel's 61 Racecourse's & Done Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 28y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Hexham | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Musselburgh | 2 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-01-29 | Ayr | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Musselburgh | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Hexham | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Hexham | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 25/04/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 05/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 92% | +0.18 |
| 07/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 90% | +0.02 |
| 10/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 01/01/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 29/01/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 20/03/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 13/04/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |