10

Les's Legacy

9yo Gelding · 10-10 · OR 92

Hexham · El Tel's 61 Racecourse's & Done Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 28y

#10

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Four-time course winner. Fallen long way in the weights since his most recent (and fortunate) success in a small-field C&D event last June. Ran creditably with usual headgear refitted when 8¼-length fifth at Perth (3m) latest. Lurking on a potentially dangerous mark on return from 13 weeks away.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength4%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kelso 25/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 105 · 3m100y Gd 168 · below its mark25/05/2025 · OR 105 par25/054OR 1054 @ Hexham 22/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 105 · 2m4f28y Gd 162 · beat its mark22/06/2025 · OR 105 par4 @ Hexham 07/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 106 · 2m4f28y Goo 161 · below its mark07/11/2025 · OR 106 par7/114OR 1064 @ Catterick 21/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 104 · 2m3f66y GS 162 · below its mark21/01/2026 · OR 104 par5 @ Sedgefield 19/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 102 · 2m3f188y Sft 165 · below its mark19/02/2026 · OR 102 par19/025OR 1025 @ Hexham 25/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 100 · 2m4f28y Sft 166 · below its mark25/03/2026 · OR 100 par5 @ Kelso 24/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 98 · 2m4f189y Gd 162 · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 98 par24/055OR 985 @ Hexham 13/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 98 · 2m48y Gd 161 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 98 par5 @ Perth 02/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 95 · 2m7f207y Gd 165 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 95 par2/075OR 95projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-02Perth55th6th−1
2026-06-13Hexham58th9th−1
2026-05-24Kelso54th5th−1
2026-03-25Hexham510th11th−1
2026-02-19Sedgefield58th9th−1
2026-01-21Catterick410th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0521/0124/052/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength49%

Delivery trend +3.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/05/20255th2/189%20%-0.69
22/06/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
07/11/20256th33/10%55%+0.55
21/01/202610th50/10%36%+0.36
19/02/20268th66/10%36%+0.36
25/03/202610th6/168%31%-0.38
24/05/20264th11/142%73%+0.31
13/06/20268th11/271%22%-0.49
02/07/20265th18/15%56%+0.50