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9

Well Educated

10yo Gelding · 10-13 · OR 95

Hexham · El Tel's 61 Racecourse's & Done Handicap Hurdle · 2m 4f 28y

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Veteran/course regular who finished runner-up 3 times here earlier in the year, nearly snapping a long losing run (2m) in early-June. Should find this a more suitable test than at Cartmel last time, however, he isn't one to be making too many excuses for (has been reluctant to start).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Hexham 14/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 108 · 2m4f28y Goo 146 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/06/2025 · OR 108 par14/063OR 1083 @ Cartmel 19/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 107 · 2m6f31y Goo 147 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/07/2025 · OR 107 par3 @ Cartmel 23/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 105 · 2m1f46y Gd 152 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/08/2025 · OR 105 par23/083OR 1054 @ Perth 24/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 103 · 2m4f35y Goo 155 · below its mark24/09/2025 · OR 103 par4 @ Hexham 19/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 97 · 2m4f28y Goo 152 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 97 par19/054OR 974 @ Hexham 06/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 98 · 2m48y Gd 153 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 98 par3 @ Hexham 13/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 98 · 2m4f28y Gd 142 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 98 par13/063OR 983 @ Hexham 21/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 98 · 2m48y Gd 145 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 98 par3 @ Cartmel 18/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 97 · 2m1f46y Gd 142 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 97 par18/073OR 97projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Cartmel310th9th+1
2026-06-21Hexham34th3rd+1
2026-06-13Hexham32nd1st+1
2026-06-06Hexham42nd2nd0
2026-05-19Hexham42nd2nd0
2025-10-25Kelso40

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0624/0913/0618/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/06/20255th7/163%56%-0.08
19/07/20256th14/126%62%+0.35
23/08/20255th16/116%50%+0.34
24/09/202511th14/126%9%-0.17
19/05/20262nd40/10%89%+0.89
06/06/20262nd9/488%80%-0.08
13/06/20262nd11/271%86%+0.15
21/06/20264th9/276%25%-0.51
18/07/202610th25/10%10%+0.10